Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.029866 0.034676 0.039972 0.046228 0.053411 0.061395 0.070937
2025-11-23 0.022885 0.029214 0.036819 0.046608 0.058850 0.073628 0.092799
2025-11-30 0.019247 0.026655 0.036249 0.049529 0.067374 0.090457 0.122508
2025-12-07 0.015788 0.023510 0.034196 0.049968 0.072538 0.103539 0.149190
2025-12-14 0.012723 0.020236 0.031278 0.048544 0.074682 0.112553 0.171302
2025-12-21 0.010662 0.018003 0.029393 0.048149 0.078012 0.123382 0.197086
2025-12-28 0.009676 0.017234 0.029543 0.050769 0.086098 0.142062 0.236722
2026-01-04 0.008637 0.016176 0.029024 0.052153 0.092276 0.158337 0.274318
2026-01-11 0.007327 0.014412 0.027030 0.050709 0.093455 0.166494 0.299383
2026-01-18 0.006387 0.013153 0.025710 0.050208 0.096097 0.177246 0.329827
2026-01-25 0.005494 0.011830 0.024067 0.048850 0.096953 0.184856 0.355404
2026-02-01 0.004813 0.010813 0.022847 0.048096 0.098772 0.194277 0.385103
2026-02-08 0.004294 0.010062 0.022069 0.048154 0.102257 0.207344 0.423427
2026-02-15 0.003731 0.009118 0.020762 0.046955 0.103085 0.215425 0.453076
2026-02-22 0.003516 0.008926 0.021018 0.049076 0.110981 0.238220 0.514246
2026-03-01 0.003166 0.008356 0.020359 0.049106 0.114437 0.252381 0.559337
2026-03-08 0.002752 0.007555 0.019059 0.047510 0.114129 0.258659 0.588595
2026-03-15 0.002461 0.007016 0.018290 0.047029 0.116239 0.270264 0.630387
2026-03-22 0.002371 0.006987 0.018748 0.049540 0.125550 0.298522 0.711495
2026-03-29 0.002224 0.006777 0.018727 0.050867 0.132203 0.321493 0.783009
2026-04-05 0.001962 0.006199 0.017676 0.049445 0.131999 0.328754 0.819271
2026-04-12 0.001771 0.005793 0.017018 0.048949 0.134031 0.341420 0.869404
2026-04-19 0.001569 0.005317 0.016097 0.047621 0.133769 0.348554 0.906998